Develop low emissions growth scenarios

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Stage 3

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3c.1 Developing low emissions growth scenarios
Figure 1 Source:Building Partnerships Delivering Innovation Informing Policy Creating Affordability. U.K Energy Technologies Institute LLP

Key Products

  • Deployment scenarios for technologies and climate measures based on projected costs and benefits under a variety of market, economic, climate, and policy conditions, including variations on the country’s technical and regulatory capacity

The first step in identifying promising technologies and practices is to evaluate alternative projections for long-term economic, policy, market, climate and capacity conditions through adjusting assumptions, constraints and inputs to the projection model.

Using outputs from the previous resource and market assessments of various technologies and initiatives in stage 3b, scenarios can be created for each sector of the economy. Scenarios present alternative visions for accelerating use of low carbon technologies and practices to achieve the development and climate goals established in stage 3b.

  • Technical teams and stakeholders can refer back to the reference scenario projections to identify alternative projections for long-term economic, policy, market, climate, capacity, and consumer acceptance conditions to inform development of scenarios.
  • Technical teams and stakeholders can develop deployment scenarios for each sector based on benefits and costs of alternatives and realistic assessment of their market potential, including consumer acceptance and alignment with technical capacity identified in stage 3a.