Biomass Scenario Model
Under the renewable fuel standard provisions of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007, U.S. policy targets 36 billion gallons per year of biofuels utilization by 2022. Achieving such large scale biofuels adoption may require the substantial development of new infrastructure, markets, and related systems. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory has developed a system dynamics model, the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM), to represent the primary system effects and dependencies in the biomass-to-biofuels supply chain and to provide a framework for developing scenarios and conducting biofuels policy analysis. This approach was designed to inform analysis and discussion by determining which supply chain changes would have the greatest potential to accelerate the deployment of biofuels. The model currently attempts to integrate all aspects of the cellulosic biofuels supply chain, from growing the feedstock through harvest, collection, transport, conversion, distribution of fuel, and, finally, consumption of the fuel in available, applicable vehicles.
- S. Peterson, E. Newes, D. Inman, L. Vimmerstedt, D. Hsu, C. Peck, D. Stright, and B. Bush. An Overview of the Biomass Scenario Model, presented at the The 31st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 2013.
- B. Bush, M. Duffy, D. Sandor, S. Peterson. Using System Dynamics to Model the Transition to Biofuels in the United States. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, NREL/CP-150-43153. June 2008.
- D. Sandor, R. Wallace, and S. Peterson. Understanding the growth of the cellulosic ethanol industry. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, NREL/TP-150-42120. April 2008.
- Biomass Scenario Model
- Department of Energy (DOE) Office of the Biomass Program
- Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007